"THE STAKING PLANS BOOK" <-- (Highly recommended betting book available on Amazon now. It can help increase your profits.) I focus only on football and I often find value in the smaller leagues. I back games where the bookmaker odds are higher than my models. For stakes, I really recommend varying stakes according to the odds. I use a 100 point bank. For low odds 1.01-1.50 I stake 5% of bank, for medium-low odds 1.51-2.00 I stake 2% of bank. For all other odds above 2.01 I stake to win a target profit of 2% of my bank. (If you cannot do target profit staking, please stake 1% of bank on medium odds 2.01-10, and 0.5% on any higher odds.) I know it is extra work, but I really do recommend it. I try to post bets more than 24 hours before kick-off as much as possible, but sometimes late tips are added. Best of luck all. Dec 12th update: I am sure many of you might wonder why I am continuing, despite my long bad run of losses. But the funny thing is, my system does actually work, just that the limit of 15 bets per day on this site means I cannot put in all of my bets which at weekends reaches 60-100 a day, and I have been unlucky in putting in losing bets, but overall, my system is actually in profit. There is a reason why the betting journal is following me, they do know my pedigree and they know the winning run is going to come back. From this week, I am changing my style on this site and adding tips in order of "trend". This means that the tips I post have been value over the past 6 years. They are not tips "to win" but pointing out odds that are above the fair odds generated by my model. Previously, I was selecting the picks from my models that I personally felt were likely to win, since I could only post 15 per day, but I am going to let the cold data do the talking from now on. Hopefully we will all see an upturn in results, before the Betting Journal drops me from their Tipster list.